Spending on Califoria Gay Marriage Initiative Likely to Top $30 million
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Capitol Weekly: California likely will play host this fall to an unprecedented political battle over gay marriage, as a looming ballot-initiative contest appears likely to force more than $30 million in total spending from the rival factions. Even though a proposed constitutional ban on same-sex marriage has not yet made it onto the November ballot, both sides are already taking in big checks from familiar donors. Steve Smith, campaign consultant for Equality for All, the main group on the "no" side of the proposed Protect Marriage initiative, said his group could raise as much as $20 million. There are pair of factors that may play against the Protect Marriage side. Gay rights groups turned a slight fundraising deficit in earlier years into a $14 million to $4 million advantage in 2006. While each side has raised in the neighborhood of $1.7 million so far-not counting donations that have likely flowed in two weeks since the court decision-the pro-marriage side has more cash on hand. Much of the money raised by the Protect Marriage campaign went to getting signatures to qualify the initiative. A Field Poll released Thursday morning found that likely California voters approved of allowing same sex couples to marry by a 51 percent to 42 percent margin. Depending on how the question is asked, between 51 percent and 54 percent oppose adding a ban on same sex marriage to the state constitution. These numbers are the opposite of those found in a Los Angeles Times poll released last week.
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