Big Bucks Seen in Anti-Gay Amendment Battle
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Bay Area Reporter: Groups on both sides of an initiative that would amend the state constitution to ban same-sex marriage are trying to raise millions of dollars in coming months. So far this year Equality for All has raised about $659,000. One pollster said opponents of the amendment can win, but they'll need all the money they can get. "It's going be a tough campaign, but based on the polling we've done the folks who are against this constitutional ban have a very good chance of defeating it in November," said Ben Tulchin of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research in San Francisco. However, he added, opponents "will need a well-funded campaign ... to tell voters why this thing is so bad." Tulchin's firm has done polling and other research for Equality for All, which paid the company $50,000 last October, records indicate. He said the campaign to reach California's voters will cost at least $10 million to $15 million, but there are reasons for optimism. Even voters who oppose same-sex marriage have a feeling of "Why this? Why now?" Most people are more concerned with issues such as the economy and the war in Iraq, Tulchin said. A record turnout is also expected in November as people go to the polls to select the next president. While younger voters were energized for the state's February presidential primary, it remains to be seen if they will turn out in record numbers in the fall. Polling in recent years has shown that younger voters support same-sex marriage, a trend that is seen today.
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