Measures on pot, pollution trail in Field Poll

San Francisco Chronicle: Voters are poised to reject a ballot measure to legalize adults' recreational use of marijuana in California and another that would suspend the state's landmark greenhouse gas reduction law, according to a Field Poll of to be released today. The poll, which also shows that likely November voters strongly support a measure to make it easier for the Legislature to pass a budget, marks a key starting point for the final months of campaigning. For measures that are trailing, it will be a tough fight to win, said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll. "Historically, for measures that don't start out with a lead, the chances of passage are much lower than those that start out with a lead," DiCamillo said. "If they start out behind, history suggests a 10 to 15 percent chance of passing. Some do, but it's very rare."

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